{"id":7281,"date":"2026-05-04T13:58:54","date_gmt":"2026-05-04T10:58:54","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/oqtima.news\/?p=7281"},"modified":"2026-05-04T14:00:02","modified_gmt":"2026-05-04T11:00:02","slug":"trading-analysis-for-btcusd-04-05-2026","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/oqtima.news\/jp\/2026\/05\/trading-analysis-for-btcusd-04-05-2026\/","title":{"rendered":"BTCUSD \u30c8\u30ec\u30fc\u30c9\u5206\u6790 \u2013 2026\u5e745\u67084\u65e5"},"content":{"rendered":"
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\u4e3b\u8981\u30dd\u30a4\u30f3\u30c8<\/strong><\/h2>
  • BTC\/USD\u306f$79,718\u3067\u53d6\u5f15\u3055\u308c\u3066\u304a\u308a\u3001\u524d\u65e5\u6bd41.47%\u9ad8\u3068\u306a\u3063\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3002$80,000\u306e\u62b5\u6297\u7dda\u306b\u8feb\u3063\u3066\u304a\u308a\u3001\u65e5\u4e2d\u306e\u9ad8\u5024\u306f\u3059\u3067\u306b$80,617\u306b\u9054\u3057\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3002<\/li>
  • RSI(14)\u306f64.81\u3067\u3001\u30b7\u30b0\u30ca\u30eb\u30e9\u30a4\u30f3\u306e61.24\u3092\u4e0a\u56de\u3063\u3066\u304a\u308a\u3001\u8cb7\u308f\u308c\u3059\u304e\u306e\u9818\u57df\u306b\u306f\u9054\u3057\u3066\u3044\u306a\u3044\u3082\u306e\u306e\u3001\u5f37\u6c17\u306a\u30e2\u30e1\u30f3\u30bf\u30e0\u3092\u78ba\u8a8d\u3057\u3066\u3044\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/li>
  • 1,675\u306eMACD\u30e9\u30a4\u30f3\u304c1,672\u306e9\u671f\u9593\u30b7\u30b0\u30ca\u30eb\u3092\u4e0a\u56de\u308a\u307e\u3057\u305f\u3002\u8584\u3044\u306a\u304c\u3089\u3082\u30d7\u30e9\u30b9\u306e\u30d2\u30b9\u30c8\u30b0\u30e9\u30e0\u3092\u751f\u6210\u3057\u3066\u304a\u308a\u3001\u30d5\u30a9\u30ed\u30fc\u30a2\u30c3\u30d7\u304c\u5fc5\u8981\u306a\u4e00\u6642\u7684\u306a\u5f37\u6c17\u306e\u30af\u30ed\u30b9\u30aa\u30fc\u30d0\u30fc\u3067\u3059\u3002<\/li>
  • $83,842\u4ed8\u8fd1\u306b\u3042\u308b200\u65e5EMA\u306f\u3001\u4e3b\u8981\u306a\u69cb\u9020\u7684\u62b5\u6297\u7dda\u3067\u3042\u308a\u3001\u771f\u306e\u30d6\u30ec\u30a4\u30af\u30a2\u30a6\u30c8\u78ba\u8a8d\u306e\u30c8\u30ea\u30ac\u30fc\u3068\u306a\u308b\u6c34\u6e96\u3068\u898b\u306a\u3055\u308c\u3066\u3044\u308b<\/li>
  • 5\u67081\u65e5\u306e\u30b9\u30dd\u30c3\u30c8\u30d3\u30c3\u30c8\u30b3\u30a4\u30f3ETF\u3078\u306e\u8cc7\u91d1\u6d41\u5165\u984d\u306f14\u51046300\u4e07\u30c9\u30eb\u306b\u9054\u3057\u30012026\u5e74\u306b\u5165\u3063\u3066\u6700\u5927\u306e\u5358\u65e5\u6d41\u5165\u984d\u3068\u306a\u3063\u305f\u30024\u6708\u306e\u7dcf\u6d41\u5165\u984d\u306f142\u51044400\u4e07\u30c9\u30eb\u3068\u306a\u308a\u3001\u4eca\u5e74\u6700\u9ad8\u306e\u6708\u9593\u8a18\u9332\u3092\u66f4\u65b0\u3057\u305f\u3002<\/li>
  • Strategy\u793e\u306e5\u67085\u65e5\u306e\u7b2c1\u56db\u534a\u671f\u6c7a\u7b97\u767a\u8868\u3068\u30015\u670815\u65e5\u306e\u9023\u90a6\u6e96\u5099\u5236\u5ea6\u7406\u4e8b\u4f1a\uff08FRB\uff09\u306e\u30c8\u30c3\u30d7\u4ea4\u4ee3\u306f\u3001\u4eca\u9031\u6700\u3082\u5dee\u3057\u8feb\u3063\u305f2\u3064\u306e\u30a4\u30d9\u30f3\u30c8\u30ea\u30b9\u30af\u3067\u3059\u3002<\/li>
  • \u9031\u8db3\u3067$82,228\u3092\u4e0a\u56de\u3063\u3066\u5f15\u3051\u305f\u5834\u5408\u3001\u30ec\u30f3\u30b8\u76f8\u5834\u3067\u306e\u56de\u5fa9\u5c40\u9762\u304b\u3089\u660e\u78ba\u306a\u4e0a\u6607\u30c8\u30ec\u30f3\u30c9\u3078\u306e\u8ee2\u63db\u3092\u793a\u5506\u3059\u308b\u3002\u4e00\u65b9\u3001$78,000\u3092\u7dad\u6301\u3067\u304d\u306a\u3051\u308c\u3070\u3001$75,000\u3078\u306e\u4e0b\u843d\u30eb\u30fc\u30c8\u304c\u518d\u3073\u958b\u304b\u308c\u308b\u3053\u3068\u306b\u306a\u308b\u3002<\/li><\/ul>

    \u5e02\u5834\u52d5\u5411\u3068\u76f4\u8fd1\u306e\u30d1\u30d5\u30a9\u30fc\u30de\u30f3\u30b9<\/strong><\/h2>

    \u30d3\u30c3\u30c8\u30b3\u30a4\u30f3\u306f\u30012025\u5e74\u5f8c\u534a\u4ee5\u6765\u6700\u3082\u5f37\u6c17\u306a\u59ff\u52e2\u30675\u6708\u306e\u6700\u521d\u306e1\u9031\u9593\u3092\u8fce\u3048\u3001\u65e5\u4e2d\u9ad8\u5024$80,617\u3001\u65e5\u4e2d\u5b89\u5024$78,282\u3092\u8a18\u9332\u3057\u305f\u5f8c\u3001$79,718\u3067\u53d6\u5f15\u3055\u308c\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3002 1.471%\u306e\u65e5\u6b21\u4e0a\u6607\u7387\u306f\u30012\u6708\u306b144,620\u30c9\u30eb\u4ed8\u8fd1\u3067\u6295\u58f2\u308a\u304c\u767a\u751f\u3057\u3066\u4ee5\u6765\u7dad\u6301\u3055\u308c\u3066\u304d\u305f\u300c\u9ad8\u5024\u5207\u308a\u4e0a\u3052\u30fb\u5b89\u5024\u5207\u308a\u4e0a\u3052\u300d\u306e\u69cb\u9020\u306e\u4e2d\u3067\u3001\u8457\u3057\u3044\u52a0\u901f\u3092\u793a\u3057\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3002 \u5e95\u5024\u304b\u3089\u73fe\u5728\u307e\u3067\u306e\u7d04$17,700\u30dd\u30a4\u30f3\u30c8\u306e\u56de\u5fa9\u306f\u300128.5%\u306e\u30ea\u30d0\u30a6\u30f3\u30c9\u306b\u76f8\u5f53\u3059\u308b\u304c\u3001\u8cc7\u7523\u4fa1\u683c\u306f\u4f9d\u7136\u3068\u3057\u3066\u524d\u56de\u306e\u4e0a\u6607\u5c40\u9762\u306b\u304a\u3051\u308b$104,000\u306e\u30d4\u30fc\u30af\u3092\u7d0423%\u4e0b\u56de\u3063\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3002.<\/p>

    4\u6708\u306f\u6a5f\u95a2\u6295\u8cc7\u5bb6\u306e\u4fe1\u983c\u56de\u5fa9\u306b\u304a\u3044\u3066\u6c7a\u5b9a\u7684\u306a\u6708\u3068\u306a\u3063\u305f\u3002\u30d3\u30c3\u30c8\u30b3\u30a4\u30f3\u306f\u3001ETF\u9700\u8981\u306e\u6025\u5897\u306b\u652f\u3048\u3089\u308c\u3001\u524d\u6708\u6bd411.84%\u9ad8\u3067\u53d6\u5f15\u3092\u7d42\u3048\u30012026\u5e74\u306b\u5165\u3063\u3066\u6700\u3082\u5f37\u3044\u6708\u9593\u30d1\u30d5\u30a9\u30fc\u30de\u30f3\u30b9\u3092\u8a18\u9332\u3057\u305f\u3002\u73fe\u7269\u30d3\u30c3\u30c8\u30b3\u30a4\u30f3ETF\u3078\u306e4\u6708\u306e\u7d14\u6d41\u5165\u984d\u306f$24\u51044000\u4e07\u30c9\u30eb\u306b\u9054\u3057\u30013\u6708\u306e$13\u51042000\u4e07\u30c9\u30eb\u306e\u307b\u307c2\u500d\u3068\u306a\u3063\u305f\u3002 \u3053\u306e\u52e2\u3044\u306f5\u6708\u306b\u5165\u3063\u3066\u3055\u3089\u306b\u52a0\u901f\u3057\u30015\u67081\u65e5\u3060\u3051\u30676\u51043000\u4e07\u30c9\u30eb\u304c\u6d41\u5165\u3057\u305f\u3053\u3068\u306f\u3001\u4eca\u5e74\u6700\u5927\u306e1\u65e5\u5f53\u305f\u308a\u306eETF\u8cc7\u91d1\u6d41\u5165\u984d\u3068\u306a\u3063\u305f\u3002\u30d6\u30e9\u30c3\u30af\u30ed\u30c3\u30af\u306eiShares Bitcoin Trust\u304c2\u51048400\u4e07\u30c9\u30eb\u3067\u30c8\u30c3\u30d7\u3068\u306a\u308a\u3001\u30d5\u30a3\u30c7\u30ea\u30c6\u30a3\u306eFBTC\u304c2\u51041300\u4e07\u30c9\u30eb\u3092\u8a18\u9332\u3057\u3001\u4e21\u8005\u5408\u308f\u305b\u3066\u540c\u65e5\u306e\u7dcf\u6d41\u5165\u984d\u306e79\uff05\u4ee5\u4e0a\u3092\u5360\u3081\u305f\u3002 IBIT\u306e\u4fdd\u6709BTC\u306f\u73fe\u572880\u4e076,000\u679a\u3092\u8d85\u3048\u3001\u6d41\u901a\u4f9b\u7d66\u91cf\u306e\u7d043.81%\u3092\u5360\u3081\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3002\u4e00\u65b9\u3001ETF\u3078\u306e\u7d2f\u7a4d\u8cc7\u91d1\u6d41\u5165\u984d\u306f\u7d2f\u8a08\u30671\u51464,585\u5104\u30c9\u30eb\u306b\u9054\u3057\u3001\u904b\u7528\u8cc7\u7523\u7dcf\u984d\u306f1\u51464,102\u5104\u30c9\u30eb\u3092\u8d85\u3048\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3002.<\/p>

    \u30aa\u30f3\u30c1\u30a7\u30fc\u30f3\u30c7\u30fc\u30bf\u306f\u5f37\u6c17\u76f8\u5834\u3092\u88cf\u4ed8\u3051\u3066\u3044\u307e\u3059\u3002\u30d3\u30c3\u30c8\u30b3\u30a4\u30f3\u306f\u3001\u627f\u8a8d\u76f4\u5f8c\u306e\u30b9\u30dd\u30c3\u30c8ETF\u3092\u901a\u3058\u3066\u53c2\u5165\u3057\u305f\u8cc7\u91d1\u306e\u5e73\u5747\u53d6\u5f97\u30b3\u30b9\u30c8\u4ed8\u8fd1\u3067\u53cd\u767a\u3057\u3066\u304a\u308a\u3001\u3053\u306e\u6c34\u6e96\u306f\u5f53\u9762\u306e\u91cd\u8981\u306a\u30b5\u30dd\u30fc\u30c8\u30e9\u30a4\u30f3\u3068\u3057\u3066\u6a5f\u80fd\u3057\u3066\u3044\u307e\u3059\u3002OBV\u306f\u4e0a\u5411\u304d\u50be\u5411\u306b\u3042\u308a\u3001\u51fa\u6765\u9ad8\u306e\u30d0\u30e9\u30f3\u30b9\u306f\u826f\u597d\u3067\u3001\u4eee\u60f3\u901a\u8ca8\u306e\u6050\u6016\u3068\u5f37\u6b32\u6307\u6570\u306f47\u3068\u300c\u4e2d\u7acb\u300d\u3092\u793a\u3057\u3066\u304a\u308a\u3001\u5e02\u5834\u304c\u6025\u843d\u524d\u306e\u71b1\u72c2\u7684\u306a\u30dd\u30b8\u30b7\u30e7\u30f3\u306b\u306f\u307e\u3060\u81f3\u3063\u3066\u3044\u306a\u3044\u3053\u3068\u3092\u793a\u5506\u3057\u3066\u3044\u307e\u3059\u3002.<\/p>

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