{"id":7359,"date":"2026-05-18T13:58:47","date_gmt":"2026-05-18T10:58:47","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/oqtima.news\/?p=7359"},"modified":"2026-05-18T14:03:48","modified_gmt":"2026-05-18T11:03:48","slug":"trading-analysis-for-btcusd-18-05-2026","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/oqtima.news\/jp\/2026\/05\/trading-analysis-for-btcusd-18-05-2026\/","title":{"rendered":"BTCUSD \u30c8\u30ec\u30fc\u30c9\u5206\u6790 \u2013 2026\/05\/18"},"content":{"rendered":"<div data-elementor-type=\"wp-post\" data-elementor-id=\"7359\" class=\"elementor elementor-7359\" data-elementor-post-type=\"post\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<section class=\"elementor-section elementor-top-section elementor-element elementor-element-379e9e40 elementor-section-boxed elementor-section-height-default elementor-section-height-default\" data-id=\"379e9e40\" data-element_type=\"section\" data-e-type=\"section\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-container elementor-column-gap-default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-column elementor-col-100 elementor-top-column elementor-element elementor-element-68b176c8\" data-id=\"68b176c8\" data-element_type=\"column\" data-e-type=\"column\">\n\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-wrap elementor-element-populated\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-a565b20 elementor-widget elementor-widget-text-editor\" data-id=\"a565b20\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"text-editor.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<h2 style=\"text-align: left;\"><strong>\u4e3b\u8981\u30dd\u30a4\u30f3\u30c8<\/strong><\/h2><ul style=\"text-align: left;\"><li>\u30d3\u30c3\u30c8\u30b3\u30a4\u30f3\u306f\u6708\u66dc\u65e5\u306e\u53d6\u5f15\u3092$76,836\u3067\u7d42\u3048\u30010.74%\u4e0b\u843d\u3057\u305f\u3002\u65e5\u8db3\u30ed\u30fc\u30bd\u30af\u8db3\u306f\u3001\u59cb\u5024$77,419\u3001\u9ad8\u5024$77,433\u3001\u5b89\u5024$76,509\u3092\u8a18\u9332\u3057\u3001\u5bc4\u308a\u4ed8\u304d\u304b\u3089\u58f2\u308a\u512a\u52e2\u306e\u72b6\u6cc1\u304c\u78ba\u8a8d\u3055\u308c\u305f\u3002<\/li><li>\u300cTrue Market Mean\uff08\u6700\u9069\u5316\uff09\u300d\u30a4\u30f3\u30b8\u30b1\u30fc\u30bf\u30fc\u306b\u3088\u308b\u3068\u3001\u30d7\u30e9\u30a4\u30de\u30eaTMM\u306f$73,222\u3001\u30aa\u30eb\u30bf\u30ca\u30c6\u30a3\u30d6TMM\u306f$76,617\u3068\u306a\u3063\u3066\u3044\u307e\u3059\u3002\u73fe\u5728\u3001\u4fa1\u683c\u306f\u30aa\u30eb\u30bf\u30ca\u30c6\u30a3\u30d6\u30e9\u30a4\u30f3\u306e\u771f\u4e0a\u306b\u4f4d\u7f6e\u3057\u3066\u304a\u308a\u3001TMM\u30c8\u30ec\u30f3\u30c9\u306f\u4e0b\u843d\u50be\u5411\u3001\u30dc\u30e9\u30c6\u30a3\u30ea\u30c6\u30a3\u306f\u300c\u9ad8\u300d\u3068\u8868\u793a\u3055\u308c\u3066\u3044\u307e\u3059\u3002\u4e00\u65b9\u3001\u5e02\u5834\u5168\u4f53\u306e\u30b9\u30c6\u30fc\u30bf\u30b9\u306f\u5f37\u6c17\u3067\u3042\u308a\u3001\u30d7\u30e9\u30a4\u30de\u30eaTMM\u306b\u5bfe\u3057\u3066+4.94%\u306e\u4e56\u96e2\u3092\u793a\u3057\u3066\u3044\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/li><li>$81,432\u306b\u3042\u308b200\u65e5\u5358\u7d14\u79fb\u52d5\u5e73\u5747\u7dda\uff08SMA\uff09\u3068\u3001$82,000\u4ed8\u8fd1\u306b\u3042\u308b200\u65e5\u6307\u6570\u79fb\u52d5\u5e73\u5747\u7dda\uff08EMA\uff09\u304c\u3001\u73fe\u5728\u306e\u4fa1\u683c\u3088\u308a\u304a\u3088\u305d$4,500\u9ad8\u3044\u4f4d\u7f6e\u3067\u3001\u5f37\u529b\u306a\u62b5\u6297\u5e2f\u3092\u5f62\u6210\u3057\u3066\u3044\u308b<\/li><li>RSI(14)\u306f44.77\u3092\u8a18\u9332\u3057\u3066\u304a\u308a\u3001\u30b7\u30b0\u30ca\u30eb\u30e9\u30a4\u30f3\u306e58.90\u3092\u5927\u304d\u304f\u4e0b\u56de\u3063\u3066\u3044\u307e\u3059\u3002\u3053\u308c\u306f\u5f31\u6c17\u306e\u30e2\u30e1\u30f3\u30bf\u30e0\u30af\u30ed\u30b9\u3092\u793a\u3057\u3066\u304a\u308a\u3001\u30cb\u30e5\u30fc\u30c8\u30e9\u30eb\u30be\u30fc\u30f3\u304c\u5371\u967a\u306b\u3055\u3089\u3055\u308c\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3053\u3068\u3092\u53cd\u6620\u3057\u3066\u3044\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/li><li>\u4e3b\u8981\u306a\u4e0b\u5024\u652f\u6301\u5e2f\u306f$74,200\u304b\u3089$75,109\u306e\u9593\u306b\u4f4d\u7f6e\u3057\u3066\u304a\u308a\u3001\u5e02\u5834\u304c\u5b89\u5b9a\u5316\u3059\u308b\u305f\u3081\u306b\u306f\u3001\u307e\u305a$78,182\u3068\u3044\u3046\u6700\u521d\u306e\u62b5\u6297\u7dda\u3092\u596a\u9084\u3059\u308b\u5fc5\u8981\u304c\u3042\u308b<\/li><li>4\u6708\u306b1\u51464,420\u5104\u30c9\u30eb\u3067\u30d4\u30fc\u30af\u306b\u9054\u3057\u305f\u73fe\u7269\u30d3\u30c3\u30c8\u30b3\u30a4\u30f3ETF\u3078\u306e\u8cc7\u91d1\u6d41\u5165\u306f\u30015\u6708\u306b\u5165\u3063\u3066\u304b\u3089\u306f\u7d041\u51464,110\u5104\u30c9\u30eb\u3078\u3068\u6e1b\u901f\u3057\u3066\u304a\u308a\u3001\u4e3b\u8981\u306a\u69cb\u9020\u7684\u306a\u8ffd\u3044\u98a8\u304c\u5931\u308f\u308c\u305f\u3002<\/li><li>\u30d5\u30e9\u30f3\u30af\u30ea\u30f3\u30fb\u30c6\u30f3\u30d7\u30eb\u30c8\u30f3\uff08$100,000\uff09\u304b\u3089\u30b9\u30bf\u30f3\u30c0\u30fc\u30c9\u30c1\u30e3\u30fc\u30bf\u30fc\u30c9\uff08$150,000\uff09\u306b\u81f3\u308b\u6a5f\u95a2\u6295\u8cc7\u5bb6\u306e\u5e74\u672b\u76ee\u6a19\u5024\u306f\u3001\u9577\u671f\u7684\u306a\u78ba\u4fe1\u3092\u53cd\u6620\u3057\u3066\u3044\u308b\u304c\u3001\u77ed\u671f\u7684\u306a\u30c6\u30af\u30cb\u30ab\u30eb\u9762\u3067\u306f\u614e\u91cd\u306a\u59ff\u52e2\u304c\u671b\u307e\u3057\u3044<\/li><\/ul><h2 style=\"text-align: left;\"><strong>\u5e02\u5834\u52d5\u5411\u3068\u76f4\u8fd1\u306e\u30d1\u30d5\u30a9\u30fc\u30de\u30f3\u30b9<\/strong><\/h2><p style=\"text-align: left;\">\u30d3\u30c3\u30c8\u30b3\u30a4\u30f3\u306f5\u670818\u65e5\u306e\u9031\u306b\u5165\u308a\u3001\u9855\u8457\u306a\u58f2\u308a\u5727\u529b\u306b\u3055\u3089\u3055\u308c\u3001\u6708\u66dc\u65e5\u306e\u7d42\u5024\u306f$76,836\u3068\u306a\u3063\u305f\u3002\u65e5\u4e2d\u306e\u5024\u52d5\u304d\u306f$76,509\u304b\u3089$77,433\u306e\u72ed\u3044\u30ec\u30f3\u30b8\u306b\u53ce\u307e\u3063\u3066\u3044\u305f\u3002 \u30bb\u30c3\u30b7\u30e7\u30f3\u5b89\u5024\u4ed8\u8fd1\u3067\u306e\u4e0b\u843d\u3067\u306e\u5f15\u3051\u306f\u3001\u58f2\u308a\u624b\u304c\u7d42\u59cb\u4e3b\u5c0e\u6a29\u3092\u63e1\u308a\u7d9a\u3051\u305f\u3053\u3068\u3092\u793a\u5506\u3057\u3066\u304a\u308a\u30015\u6708\u524d\u534a\u306b$83,000\uff5e$84,000\u306e\u7bc4\u56f2\u3067\u8a18\u9332\u3057\u305f\u76f4\u8fd1\u306e\u56de\u5fa9\u9ad8\u5024\u304b\u3089\u306e\u53cd\u843d\u304c\u3055\u3089\u306b\u62e1\u5927\u3057\u305f\u5f62\u3068\u306a\u3063\u305f\u3002.<\/p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">\u30d3\u30c3\u30c8\u30b3\u30a4\u30f3\u306f2026\u5e74\u3092\u9ad8\u3044\u6c34\u6e96\u3067\u8fce\u3048\u305f\u3082\u306e\u306e\u3001$97,000\u30c9\u30eb\u8fd1\u8fba\u306e\u9ad8\u5024\u304b\u30892\u6708\u306e\u5b89\u5024\u3067\u3042\u308b\u7d04$62,000\u30c9\u30eb\u307e\u3067\u6025\u843d\u3057\u3001\u30ec\u30d0\u30ec\u30c3\u30b8\u3092\u52b9\u304b\u305b\u305f\u6295\u8cc7\u5bb6\u305f\u3061\u306e\u9593\u3067\u5e83\u7bc4\u306a\u6295\u3052\u58f2\u308a\u3092\u5f15\u304d\u8d77\u3053\u3057\u305f\u3002 \u305d\u306e\u5f8c\u306e\u56de\u5fa9\u306f\u3001\u73fe\u7269\u30d3\u30c3\u30c8\u30b3\u30a4\u30f3ETF\u3078\u306e\u9700\u8981\u6025\u5897\u306b\u3088\u3063\u3066\u727d\u5f15\u3055\u308c\u305f\u30022026\u5e74\u306b\u304a\u3044\u3066\u30014\u6708\u306f\u7c73\u56fd\u306e\u73fe\u7269\u30d3\u30c3\u30c8\u30b3\u30a4\u30f3ETF\u3078\u306e\u8cc7\u91d1\u6d41\u5165\u304c\u6700\u3082\u5f37\u304b\u3063\u305f\u6708\u3068\u306a\u308a\u30019\u65e5\u9023\u7d9a\u3067\u7d2f\u8a08\u7d14\u6d41\u5165\u984d\u306f24\u51044,000\u4e07\u30c9\u30eb\u306b\u9054\u3057\u305f\u3002\u30d6\u30e9\u30c3\u30af\u30ed\u30c3\u30af\u306eIBIT\u304c\u5148\u5c0e\u3057\u30011\u56de\u306e\u53d6\u5f15\u30673\u51043,500\u4e07\u30c9\u30eb\u3092\u96c6\u3081\u305f\u4e00\u65b9\u3001\u30d5\u30a3\u30c7\u30ea\u30c6\u30a3\u306eFBTC\u3082\u305d\u308c\u306b\u4e26\u3093\u3067\u5927\u304d\u304f\u8ca2\u732e\u3057\u305f\u3002 \u9700\u8981\u306e\u30d4\u30fc\u30af\u6642\u306b\u306f\u3001ETF\u767a\u884c\u4f53\u306f1\u65e5\u3042\u305f\u308a4,500\uff5e5,000 BTC\u3092\u5438\u53ce\u3057\u3066\u3044\u305f\u306e\u306b\u5bfe\u3057\u3001\u534a\u6e1b\u671f\u5f8c\u306e\u30de\u30a4\u30cb\u30f3\u30b0\u751f\u7523\u91cf\u306f\u308f\u305a\u304b450 BTC\u306b\u3068\u3069\u307e\u3063\u3066\u3044\u307e\u3057\u305f\u3002\u3053\u306e10\u5bfe1\u306e\u6bd4\u7387\u306f\u3001\u69cb\u9020\u7684\u306b\u53d6\u5f15\u6240\u306e\u6d6e\u52d5\u4f9b\u7d66\u91cf\u3092\u67af\u6e07\u3055\u305b\u3001\u4fa1\u683c\u309283,000\u30c9\u30eb\u3078\u3068\u62bc\u3057\u4e0a\u3052\u307e\u3057\u305f\u3002 ETF\u306e\u7d14\u8cc7\u7523\u7dcf\u984d\u306f1\u51464,000\u5104\u30c9\u30eb\u3092\u8d85\u3048\u3001Strategy\u3001MARA\u3001Metaplanet\u306b\u3088\u308b\u4f01\u696d\u4fdd\u6709\u5206\u306f2026\u5e74\u7b2c1\u56db\u534a\u671f\u306b115\u4e07BTC\u306b\u9054\u3057\u3001\u524d\u56db\u534a\u671f\u6bd4\u30674.61\uff05\u5897\u52a0\u3057\u305f\u3002.<\/p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">5\u6708\u306e\u72b6\u6cc1\u306f\u7570\u306a\u3063\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3002ETF\u3078\u306e\u8cc7\u91d1\u6d41\u5165\u306f\u3001\u4eca\u6708\u306b\u5165\u3063\u3066\u7d041\u51464,411\u5104\u30c9\u30eb\u307e\u3067\u6e1b\u901f\u3057\u3066\u304a\u308a\u30015\u6708\u4e2d\u65ec\u306b\u898b\u3089\u308c\u305f\u8cc7\u91d1\u6d41\u51fa\u306f\u3001FOMC\u5f8c\u306e\u30dd\u30b8\u30b7\u30e7\u30f3\u8abf\u6574\u306b\u3088\u308b\u3082\u306e\u3068\u307f\u3089\u308c\u308b\u3002\u30d3\u30c3\u30c8\u30b3\u30a4\u30f3\u306e\u6642\u4fa1\u7dcf\u984d\u306f1\u51464,152\u5104\u30c9\u30eb\u524d\u5f8c\u3067\u63a8\u79fb\u3057\u3066\u304a\u308a\u3001\u300c\u6050\u6016\u3068\u5f37\u6b32\u6307\u6570\u300d\u306f28\u307e\u3067\u4f4e\u4e0b\u3057\u3001\u660e\u3089\u304b\u306b\u300c\u6050\u6016\u300d\u306e\u9818\u57df\u306b\u3042\u308b\u3002.<\/p><h2 style=\"text-align: left;\"><strong>\u30c6\u30af\u30cb\u30ab\u30eb\u304a\u3088\u3073\u30d5\u30a1\u30f3\u30c0\u30e1\u30f3\u30bf\u30eb\u8981\u56e0<\/strong><\/h2><p style=\"text-align: left;\">\u65e5\u8db3\u30c1\u30e3\u30fc\u30c8\u3067\u306f\u3001\u77ed\u671f\u7684\u306a\u76f8\u5834\u69cb\u9020\u304c\u60aa\u5316\u3057\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3002$81,432\u306b\u3042\u308b200\u65e5SMA\u3068\u3001$82,000\u4ed8\u8fd1\u306b\u3042\u308b200\u65e5EMA\u304c\u3001$81,432\u304b\u3089$82,500\u306b\u304b\u3051\u3066\u306e\u53ce\u675f\u62b5\u6297\u5e2f\u3092\u5f62\u6210\u3057\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3002 \u30d3\u30c3\u30c8\u30b3\u30a4\u30f3\u306f5\u6708\u521d\u65ec\u306b\u4e00\u6642\u7684\u306b\u3053\u306e\u30ec\u30f3\u30b8\u3092\u4e0a\u56de\u3063\u305f\u3082\u306e\u306e\u3001\u305d\u306e\u5f8c\u53cd\u843d\u3057\u3066\u304a\u308a\u3001\u3053\u308c\u306f\u91cd\u8981\u306a\u30c6\u30af\u30cb\u30ab\u30eb\u7684\u306a\u5931\u6557\u3068\u8a00\u3048\u307e\u3059\u3002\u73fe\u5728\u3001\u4fa1\u683c\u306f$76,836\u306b\u3042\u308a\u3001\u3053\u306e\u30be\u30fc\u30f3\u3088\u308a\u7d045.5%\u4e0b\u56de\u3063\u3066\u304a\u308a\u3001\u6307\u6a19\u306e\u7a4d\u307f\u91cd\u306d\u304b\u3089\u306f\u5f53\u9762\u306e\u30ea\u30d0\u30a6\u30f3\u30c9\u306e\u304d\u3063\u304b\u3051\u306f\u898b\u5f53\u305f\u308a\u307e\u305b\u3093\u3002.<\/p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">44.77\u306eRSI\uff0814\uff09\u306f\u300158.90\u306e\u30b7\u30b0\u30ca\u30eb\u30e9\u30a4\u30f3\u3092\u6c7a\u5b9a\u7684\u306b\u4e0b\u629c\u3051\u305f\u300235\u304b\u308938\u306e\u9818\u57df\u3078\u306e\u7d99\u7d9a\u7684\u306a\u4e0b\u843d\u306f\u3001\u30aa\u30b7\u30ec\u30fc\u30bf\u30fc\u3092\u5e73\u5747\u56de\u5e30\u306e\u8a2d\u5b9a\u3067\u306f\u306a\u304f\u3001\u30c8\u30ec\u30f3\u30c9\u78ba\u8a8d\u9818\u57df\u3078\u3068\u30b7\u30d5\u30c8\u3055\u305b\u308b\u3060\u308d\u3046\u30022\u6708\u306e20\u53f0\u524d\u534a\u306e\u58f2\u3089\u308c\u3059\u304e\u306e\u6975\u7aef\u306a\u72b6\u614b\u304b\u3089RSI\u306f\u5927\u304d\u304f\u96e2\u308c\u3066\u3044\u308b\u305f\u3081\u3001\u30c6\u30af\u30cb\u30ab\u30eb\u306a\u6d88\u8017\u30d1\u30bf\u30fc\u30f3\u304c\u95a2\u9023\u6027\u3092\u6301\u3064\u307e\u3067\u306b\u306f\u3001\u4e0b\u65b9\u306b\u306f\u5341\u5206\u306a\u4f59\u5730\u304c\u3042\u308b\u3002.<\/p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">\u30dc\u30ea\u30f3\u30b8\u30e3\u30fc\u30d0\u30f3\u30c9\u306e\u69cb\u9020\u4e0a\u3001\u4e0a\u30d0\u30f3\u30c9\u306f$82,964\u3001\u4e0b\u30d0\u30f3\u30c9\u306f$75,771\u300120\u671f\u9593\u306e\u4e2d\u9593\u30d0\u30f3\u30c9\u306f$79,367\u306b\u4f4d\u7f6e\u3057\u3066\u3044\u307e\u3059\u3002\u30d3\u30c3\u30c8\u30b3\u30a4\u30f3\u306f\u4e0b\u30d0\u30f3\u30c9\u306b\u5411\u304b\u3063\u3066\u62bc\u3057\u4e0a\u3052\u3089\u308c\u3066\u3044\u307e\u3059\u304c\u3001\u307e\u3060\u63a5\u89e6\u3057\u3066\u306f\u3044\u307e\u305b\u3093\u3002 $75,771\u3092\u4e0b\u56de\u3063\u3066\u5f15\u3051\u305f\u5834\u5408\u3001$75,109\u306e\u69cb\u9020\u7684\u30b5\u30dd\u30fc\u30c8\u3078\u306e\u30c6\u30b9\u30c8\u304c\u59cb\u307e\u308b\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u304c\u3042\u308a\u3001\u4e00\u65b9\u3001$79,367\u306e\u4e2d\u9593\u30d0\u30f3\u30c9\u3092\u56de\u5fa9\u3057\u3066\u4e0a\u629c\u3051\u308b\u3053\u3068\u304c\u3001\u5f37\u6c17\u76f8\u5834\u3078\u306e\u518d\u53c2\u5165\u306e\u524d\u63d0\u6761\u4ef6\u3068\u306a\u308a\u307e\u3059\u3002 5\u65e5EMA\u304c20\u65e5EMA\u3092\u4e0b\u56de\u3063\u305f\u3053\u3068\u3067\u3001RSI\u306e\u5f31\u6c17\u30b7\u30b0\u30ca\u30eb\u304c\u77ed\u671f\u7684\u306b\u88cf\u4ed8\u3051\u3089\u308c\u305f\u3002\u4e00\u65b9\u3001\u65e5\u8db3\u30c1\u30e3\u30fc\u30c8\u3067\u306f\u4fa1\u683c\u306f50\u65e5\u3001100\u65e5\u3001200\u65e5\u306e\u79fb\u52d5\u5e73\u5747\u7dda\u3092\u4e0b\u56de\u3063\u305f\u307e\u307e\u3067\u3042\u308b\u3002\u8907\u5408\u30b7\u30b0\u30ca\u30eb\u30e2\u30c7\u30eb\u3082\u3053\u306e\u72b6\u6cc1\u3092\u793a\u3057\u3066\u304a\u308a\u3001\u77ed\u671f\u7684\u306a\u96c6\u8a08\u3067\u306f\u5f31\u6c17\u30b7\u30b0\u30ca\u30eb\u304c9\u5bfe7\u3067\u5f37\u6c17\u30b7\u30b0\u30ca\u30eb\u3092\u4e0a\u56de\u3063\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3002.<\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-fd1f33c elementor-widget elementor-widget-image\" data-id=\"fd1f33c\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"image.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<img fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"800\" height=\"456\" src=\"https:\/\/oqtima.news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/a-Falling-TMM-Trend-and-High-Volatility-for-Bitcoin-1024x584.png\" class=\"attachment-large size-large wp-image-7372\" alt=\"\" srcset=\"https:\/\/oqtima.news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/a-Falling-TMM-Trend-and-High-Volatility-for-Bitcoin-1024x584.png 1024w, https:\/\/oqtima.news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/a-Falling-TMM-Trend-and-High-Volatility-for-Bitcoin-300x171.png 300w, https:\/\/oqtima.news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/a-Falling-TMM-Trend-and-High-Volatility-for-Bitcoin-768x438.png 768w, https:\/\/oqtima.news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/a-Falling-TMM-Trend-and-High-Volatility-for-Bitcoin-1536x876.png 1536w, https:\/\/oqtima.news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/a-Falling-TMM-Trend-and-High-Volatility-for-Bitcoin-2048x1168.png 2048w, https:\/\/oqtima.news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/a-Falling-TMM-Trend-and-High-Volatility-for-Bitcoin-18x10.png 18w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 800px) 100vw, 800px\" \/>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-4abe739 elementor-widget elementor-widget-text-editor\" data-id=\"4abe739\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"text-editor.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<p style=\"text-align: left;\">\u300cTrue Market Mean\uff08TMM\uff09\u300d\u6307\u6a19\u306f\u3001\u30aa\u30f3\u30c1\u30a7\u30fc\u30f3\u5206\u6790\u306b\u304a\u3051\u308b\u91cd\u8981\u306a\u30b3\u30f3\u30c6\u30ad\u30b9\u30c8\u3092\u63d0\u4f9b\u3057\u307e\u3059\u3002\u30a2\u30af\u30c6\u30a3\u30d6\u306a\u5e02\u5834\u306e\u9577\u671f\u7684\u306a\u7dcf\u53d6\u5f97\u539f\u4fa1\u3092\u8ffd\u8de1\u3059\u308b\u300c\u30d7\u30e9\u30a4\u30de\u30eaTMM\u300d\u306f$73,222\u306b\u4f4d\u7f6e\u3057\u3066\u304a\u308a\u3001\u4e00\u65b9\u3001\u3088\u308a\u77ed\u671f\u7684\u306a\u30b5\u30a4\u30af\u30eb\u3092\u8868\u3059\u300c\u30aa\u30eb\u30bf\u30ca\u30c6\u30a3\u30d6TMM\u300d\u306f$76,617\u3067\u3001\u4fa1\u683c\u306f\u73fe\u5728\u3001\u307b\u307c\u3053\u306e\u6c34\u6e96\u306b\u62bc\u3057\u4e0a\u3052\u3089\u308c\u3066\u3044\u307e\u3059\u3002 \u3053\u306e\u6307\u6a19\u306f\u300cTMM\u4e0b\u964d\u30c8\u30ec\u30f3\u30c9\u300d\u3068\u300c\u9ad8\u30dc\u30e9\u30c6\u30a3\u30ea\u30c6\u30a3\u300d\u3092\u793a\u3057\u3066\u304a\u308a\u3001\u4e00\u65b9\u3067\u5e02\u5834\u5168\u4f53\u306e\u30b9\u30c6\u30fc\u30bf\u30b9\u306f\u30d7\u30e9\u30a4\u30de\u30ea\u30e9\u30a4\u30f3\u3092+4.94%\u4e0a\u56de\u3063\u3066\u300c\u5f37\u6c17\u300d\u3068\u306a\u3063\u3066\u3044\u307e\u3059\u3002\u3053\u306e\u7d44\u307f\u5408\u308f\u305b\u306f\u91cd\u8981\u3067\u3059\u3002\u30de\u30af\u30ed\u7684\u306a\u8a55\u4fa1\u30d5\u30ec\u30fc\u30e0\u30ef\u30fc\u30af\u3067\u306f\u3001\u30d3\u30c3\u30c8\u30b3\u30a4\u30f3\u306f\u4f9d\u7136\u3068\u3057\u3066\u30d5\u30a1\u30f3\u30c0\u30e1\u30f3\u30bf\u30eb\u30ba\u4e0a\u306e\u5e95\u5024\u3092\u4e0a\u56de\u3063\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3068\u5206\u985e\u3055\u308c\u3066\u3044\u307e\u3059\u304c\u3001\u4e0b\u964d\u30c8\u30ec\u30f3\u30c9\u3068\u9ad8\u30dc\u30e9\u30c6\u30a3\u30ea\u30c6\u30a3\u306f\u3001\u77ed\u671f\u7684\u306a\u52e2\u3044\u304c\u5f31\u307e\u3063\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3053\u3068\u3092\u88cf\u4ed8\u3051\u3066\u3044\u307e\u3059\u3002 \u7d42\u5024\u30d9\u30fc\u30b9\u3067$76,617\u306e\u4ee3\u66ffTMM\u3092\u4e0a\u56de\u3063\u3066\u7dad\u6301\u3067\u304d\u308b\u304b\u304c\u3001\u5f53\u9762\u306e\u8a66\u91d1\u77f3\u3068\u306a\u308a\u307e\u3059\u3002\u3053\u306e\u6c34\u6e96\u3092\u7d99\u7d9a\u7684\u306b\u5272\u308a\u8fbc\u3080\u3068\u3001$73,222\u306b\u3042\u308b\u30d7\u30e9\u30a4\u30de\u30eaTMM\u304c\u3001\u6b21\u306e\u91cd\u8981\u306a\u30aa\u30f3\u30c1\u30a7\u30fc\u30f3\u30b5\u30dd\u30fc\u30c8\u3068\u3057\u3066\u6d6e\u4e0a\u3059\u308b\u3053\u3068\u306b\u306a\u308a\u307e\u3059\u3002 \u69cb\u9020\u7684\u306a\u30b5\u30dd\u30fc\u30c8\u306f$75,109\u306b\u5b9a\u7740\u3057\u3066\u304a\u308a\u3001$75,700\u4ed8\u8fd1\u306e128\u65e5\u79fb\u52d5\u5e73\u5747\u7dda\u304c\u8ffd\u52a0\u306e\u9632\u885b\u30e9\u30a4\u30f3\u3068\u306a\u308a\u3001$74,200\u304c\u3088\u308a\u6df1\u3044\u5e95\u5024\u3092\u793a\u3057\u3066\u3044\u307e\u3059\u3002 \u62b5\u6297\u7dda\u306f$78,182\u3001\u6b21\u3044\u3067$79,331\u3001\u305d\u3057\u3066\u305d\u306e\u4e0a\u65b9\u306e$81,432\u304b\u3089$82,500\u306e\u30b3\u30f3\u30d5\u30eb\u30a8\u30f3\u30b9\uff08\u53ce\u675f\u70b9\uff09\u306b\u4f4d\u7f6e\u3057\u3066\u3044\u307e\u3059\u3002 $84,000\u306e\u30d4\u30fc\u30af\u304b\u3089\u7d9a\u304f\u6700\u8fd1\u306e\u5b89\u5024\u66f4\u65b0\u306e\u9023\u9396\u306f\u3001\u5229\u76ca\u78ba\u5b9a\u58f2\u308a\u306e\u5c55\u958b\u3068\u4e00\u81f4\u3057\u3066\u304a\u308a\u3001\u6708\u66dc\u65e5\u306b$77,433\u306e\u9ad8\u5024\u304b\u3089\u56de\u5fa9\u3067\u304d\u306a\u304b\u3063\u305f\u3053\u3068\u306f\u3001\u58f2\u308a\u624b\u306e\u652f\u914d\u529b\u3092\u5f37\u3081\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3002.<\/p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">\u53d6\u5f15\u6240\u306e\u4fdd\u6709\u6b8b\u9ad8\u306f\u69cb\u9020\u7684\u306b\u6e1b\u5c11\u3092\u7d9a\u3051\u3066\u304a\u308a\u3001\u3053\u308c\u306f\u4e2d\u671f\u7684\u306b\u306f\u30d7\u30e9\u30b9\u8981\u56e0\u3067\u3042\u308b\u3002\u307e\u305f\u3001\u30d6\u30ed\u30c3\u30af\u5831\u916c\u304c3.125 BTC\u3068\u306a\u3063\u305f\u73fe\u5728\u3001\u30d3\u30c3\u30c8\u30b3\u30a4\u30f3\u306f\u30b5\u30a4\u30af\u30eb\u958b\u59cb\u304b\u308925\u30f6\u6708\u304c\u7d4c\u904e\u3057\u3066\u3044\u308b\u304c\u3001\u534a\u6e1b\u671f\u5f8c\u306e\u4f9b\u7d66\u52d5\u5411\u306f\u4f9d\u7136\u3068\u3057\u3066\u7dad\u6301\u3055\u308c\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3002\u3057\u304b\u3057\u3001\u5e02\u5834\u306f\u6b74\u53f2\u7684\u306b\u3053\u306e\u6642\u70b9\u3067\u30b5\u30a4\u30af\u30eb\u306e\u7d42\u76e4\u306b\u304a\u3051\u308b\u8abf\u6574\u5c40\u9762\u306b\u5165\u308b\u50be\u5411\u306b\u3042\u308a\u3001$97,000\u30c9\u30eb\u306e\u30d4\u30fc\u30af\u4ee5\u964d\u306e\u4fa1\u683c\u52d5\u5411\u306f\u3001\u6982\u306d\u305d\u306e\u30d1\u30bf\u30fc\u30f3\u3068\u4e00\u81f4\u3057\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3002 \u30d3\u30c3\u30c8\u30b3\u30a4\u30f3\u3068S&amp;P 500\u306e90%\u4fe1\u983c\u533a\u9593\uff0890%\uff09\u306b\u304a\u3051\u308b\u76f8\u95a2\u95a2\u4fc2\u306b\u3088\u308a\u3001\u30de\u30af\u30ed\u7684\u306a\u30ea\u30b9\u30af\u30aa\u30d5\u5c40\u9762\u306e\u5f71\u97ff\u3092\u53d7\u3051\u3084\u3059\u3044\u72b6\u6cc1\u304c\u7d9a\u3044\u3066\u3044\u308b\u4e00\u65b9\u3001CLARITY\u6cd5\u306e\u9032\u5c55\u3084BNY\u30e1\u30ed\u30f3\u306b\u3088\u308b\u30a2\u30d6\u30c0\u30d3\u3078\u306e\u30d3\u30c3\u30c8\u30b3\u30a4\u30f3\u30ab\u30b9\u30c8\u30c7\u30a3\u4e8b\u696d\u62e1\u5927\u306f\u3001\u69cb\u9020\u7684\u306a\u898b\u901a\u3057\u306b\u5bfe\u3057\u3066\u9577\u671f\u7684\u306a\u4e0b\u652f\u3048\u8981\u56e0\u3068\u306a\u3063\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3002.<\/p><h2 style=\"text-align: left;\"><strong>\u4eca\u5f8c\u306e\u898b\u901a\u3057<\/strong><\/h2><p style=\"text-align: left;\">\u4eca\u9031\u306e\u76f8\u5834\u306e\u65b9\u5411\u6027\u306f\u3001\u30d3\u30c3\u30c8\u30b3\u30a4\u30f3\u304c$76,617\u306e\u300c\u30aa\u30eb\u30bf\u30ca\u30c6\u30a3\u30d6TMM\u300d\u304a\u3088\u3073\u3001\u3088\u308a\u5e83\u7bc4\u306a$75,109\uff5e$76,000\u306e\u30b5\u30dd\u30fc\u30c8\u5e2f\u3092\u7dad\u6301\u3067\u304d\u308b\u304b\u3069\u3046\u304b\u306b\u304b\u304b\u3063\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3002 \u65e5\u8db3\u7d42\u5024\u304c$76,617\u3092\u4e0b\u56de\u308c\u3070\u3001\u91cd\u8981\u306a\u30aa\u30f3\u30c1\u30a7\u30fc\u30f3\u652f\u6301\u30e9\u30a4\u30f3\u306e\u7a81\u7834\u304c\u78ba\u5b9a\u3057\u3001\u5f31\u6c17\u52e2\u529b\u304c$74,200\u304b\u3089$75,109\u306e\u69cb\u9020\u7684\u5e95\u5024\u5e2f\u3078\u3068\u62bc\u3057\u4e0b\u3052\u3088\u3046\u3068\u3057\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3053\u3068\u3092\u793a\u5506\u3059\u308b\u3002\u305d\u306e\u4e0b\u306b\u306f\u3001$73,222\u306e\u30d7\u30e9\u30a4\u30de\u30eaTMM\u304c\u6b21\u306e\u91cd\u8981\u306a\u30aa\u30f3\u30c1\u30a7\u30fc\u30f3\u30e9\u30a4\u30f3\u3068\u3057\u3066\u63a7\u3048\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3002 \u672c\u683c\u7684\u306a\u5b89\u5b9a\u5316\u306e\u5146\u5019\u3092\u78ba\u8a8d\u3059\u308b\u306b\u306f\u3001RSI\u304c58.90\u306e\u30b7\u30b0\u30ca\u30eb\u30e9\u30a4\u30f3\u306b\u5411\u3051\u3066\u56de\u5fa9\u3059\u308b\u3053\u3068\u304c\u5fc5\u8981\u3067\u3059\u3002.<\/p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">\u5f37\u6c17\u30b7\u30ca\u30ea\u30aa\u3068\u306a\u308b\u306b\u306f\u3001\u30d3\u30c3\u30c8\u30b3\u30a4\u30f3\u304c$78,182\u3092\u78ba\u56fa\u305f\u308b\u65e5\u8db3\u7d42\u5024\u3067\u596a\u9084\u3057\u3001$79,331\u3092\u7a81\u7834\u3057\u305f\u5f8c\u3001200\u65e5\u79fb\u52d5\u5e73\u5747\u7dda\u3067\u3042\u308b$81,432\u3092\u76ee\u6a19\u3068\u3059\u308b\u5fc5\u8981\u304c\u3042\u308a\u307e\u3059\u3002\u3053\u308c\u3092\u4e0a\u56de\u308c\u3070\u3001$83,000\u304b\u3089$85,000\u306b\u5411\u3051\u305f\u4e0a\u6607\u304c\u73fe\u5b9f\u5473\u3092\u5e2f\u3073\u3066\u304d\u307e\u3059\u3002 $85,000\uff5e$90,000\u306e\u7bc4\u56f2\u306b\u304a\u3051\u308b\u6a5f\u95a2\u6295\u8cc7\u5bb6\u306e\u5e74\u672b\u306e\u30d9\u30fc\u30b9\u30b1\u30fc\u30b9\u3067\u306f\u30012026\u5e74\u4e0b\u534a\u671f\u306bFRB\u306e\u7de9\u548c\u7684\u306a\u91d1\u878d\u74b0\u5883\u3068\u4e26\u884c\u3057\u3066\u3001ETF\u3078\u306e\u8cc7\u91d1\u6d41\u5165\u304c\u518d\u958b\u3055\u308c\u308b\u3053\u3068\u304c\u5fc5\u8981\u3068\u306a\u308b\u3002.<\/p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">\u4eca\u9031\u306fETF\u306e\u8cc7\u91d1\u52d5\u5411\u30c7\u30fc\u30bf\u304c\u6ce8\u8996\u3059\u3079\u304d\u4e3b\u8981\u306a\u6750\u6599\u3068\u306a\u308b\u30021\u65e5\u306e\u8cc7\u91d1\u6d41\u5165\u984d\u304c$200\u4e07\u30c9\u30eb\u3092\u4e0a\u56de\u308c\u3070\u3001\u6a5f\u95a2\u6295\u8cc7\u5bb6\u306e\u78ba\u4fe1\u304c\u56de\u5fa9\u3057\u3064\u3064\u3042\u308b\u3053\u3068\u3092\u793a\u5506\u3059\u308b\u3060\u308d\u3046\u3002\u8cc7\u91d1\u6d41\u51fa\u304c\u7d9a\u3044\u305f\u308a\u3001\u6a2a\u3070\u3044\u72b6\u614b\u304c\u7d9a\u3044\u305f\u308a\u3059\u308c\u3070\u30015\u6708\u306e\u4e0a\u6607\u3092\u652f\u3048\u3066\u304d\u305f\u91cd\u8981\u306a\u30d5\u30a1\u30f3\u30c0\u30e1\u30f3\u30bf\u30eb\u8981\u56e0\u304c\u5931\u308f\u308c\u3001\u4fa1\u683c\u306f\u3055\u3089\u306a\u308b\u58f2\u308a\u5727\u529b\u306b\u3055\u3089\u3055\u308c\u308b\u3053\u3068\u306b\u306a\u308b\u3002\u6050\u6016\u30fb\u5f37\u6b32\u6307\u6570\u304c28\u3068\u3001\u30dd\u30b8\u30b7\u30e7\u30f3\u306f\u3059\u3067\u306b\u9632\u5fa1\u7684\u306a\u59ff\u52e2\u306b\u504f\u3063\u3066\u304a\u308a\u3001\u4f55\u3089\u304b\u306e\u5f15\u304d\u91d1\u3055\u3048\u3042\u308c\u3070\u6025\u53cd\u767a\u3059\u308b\u6761\u4ef6\u304c\u6574\u3063\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3002 \u305d\u306e\u5f15\u304d\u91d1\u3068\u306a\u308b\u6750\u6599\u304c\u73fe\u308c\u3001\u30d3\u30c3\u30c8\u30b3\u30a4\u30f3\u304c20\u65e5\u79fb\u52d5\u5e73\u5747\u7dda\u3092\u4e0a\u56de\u308b$78,182\u3092\u596a\u9084\u3059\u308b\u307e\u3067\u306f\u3001\u65e5\u8db3\u30c1\u30e3\u30fc\u30c8\u4e0a\u3067\u306e\u6700\u3082\u62b5\u6297\u306e\u5c11\u306a\u3044\u9053\u7b4b\u306f\u3001$76,617\u306b\u3042\u308b\u30aa\u30eb\u30bf\u30ca\u30c6\u30a3\u30d6TMM\u3001\u304a\u3088\u3073\u305d\u306e\u4e0b\u306b\u3042\u308b$74,200\u304b\u3089$75,109\u306e\u30b5\u30dd\u30fc\u30c8\u30be\u30fc\u30f3\u3078\u5411\u304b\u3046\u65b9\u5411\u306e\u307e\u307e\u3067\u3042\u308b\u3002.<\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u30d3\u30c3\u30c8\u30b3\u30a4\u30f3\u306f5\u670818\u65e5\u306e\u9031\u306b\u5165\u308a\u3001\u9855\u8457\u306a\u58f2\u308a\u5727\u529b\u306b\u3055\u3089\u3055\u308c\u3001\u6708\u66dc\u65e5\u306e\u7d42\u5024\u306f$76,836\u3068\u306a\u3063\u305f\u3002\u65e5\u4e2d\u306e\u5024\u52d5\u304d\u306f$76,509\u304b\u3089$77,433\u306e\u72ed\u3044\u30ec\u30f3\u30b8\u306b\u53ce\u307e\u3063\u3066\u3044\u305f\u3002 \u30bb\u30c3\u30b7\u30e7\u30f3\u5b89\u5024\u4ed8\u8fd1\u3067\u306e\u4e0b\u843d\u3067\u306e\u5f15\u3051\u306f\u3001\u58f2\u308a\u624b\u304c\u7d42\u59cb\u4e3b\u5c0e\u6a29\u3092\u63e1\u308a\u7d9a\u3051\u305f\u3053\u3068\u3092\u793a\u5506\u3057\u3066\u304a\u308a\u30015\u6708\u524d\u534a\u306b$83,000\uff5e$84,000\u306e\u7bc4\u56f2\u3067\u8a18\u9332\u3057\u305f\u76f4\u8fd1\u306e\u56de\u5fa9\u9ad8\u5024\u304b\u3089\u306e\u53cd\u843d\u304c\u3055\u3089\u306b\u62e1\u5927\u3057\u305f\u5f62\u3068\u306a\u3063\u305f\u3002.<\/p>","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":6998,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[4],"tags":[17,11],"class_list":["post-7359","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-trading-analysis","tag-btc","tag-trading-analysis"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/oqtima.news\/jp\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/7359","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/oqtima.news\/jp\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/oqtima.news\/jp\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/oqtima.news\/jp\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/4"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/oqtima.news\/jp\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=7359"}],"version-history":[{"count":4,"href":"https:\/\/oqtima.news\/jp\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/7359\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":7375,"href":"https:\/\/oqtima.news\/jp\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/7359\/revisions\/7375"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/oqtima.news\/jp\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/6998"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/oqtima.news\/jp\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=7359"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/oqtima.news\/jp\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=7359"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/oqtima.news\/jp\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=7359"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}