Trading Analysis for EURUSD
29/01/2024

The upcoming week is shaping up to be particularly eventful for financial markets, with a full agenda that includes critical decisions from central banks, significant economic data releases, and the earnings reports from several major US technology companies. Highlights of the week include policy announcements from the Federal Reserve and the Bank of England, the latest figures for US nonfarm payrolls, preliminary Q4 GDP data for Germany and the Eurozone, as well as manufacturing and services PMI numbers from China, alongside inflation updates from Germany and the Eurozone.

Amid these economic updates, the tech sector will be in the spotlight as some of the largest American technology firms are scheduled to announce their fourth-quarter earnings. Alphabet and Microsoft are set to reveal their financial performance on Tuesday, followed by Amazon, Apple, and Meta Platforms, which will share their earnings results after Thursday’s market close.

The performance of US stock markets has been notably strong, with indices reaching new highs across various timeframes, fueled by a prevailing risk-on sentiment among investors. The forthcoming earnings announcements from these tech giants, often referred to as the Big 7, are anticipated to have a significant impact on market indices due to their substantial market capitalizations.

In the previous week, Tesla’s shares took a hit, dropping approximately 12% following the release of its earnings report, indicating the market’s sensitivity to these high-profile earnings announcements.

Furthermore, the European Central Bank’s recent decision to maintain its interest rate policy unchanged has put the Euro under some pressure, especially with market participants now expecting potential rate cuts in response to stagnating economic growth within the Eurozone. The forthcoming GDP data from the Eurozone and Germany will be closely watched for indications of the economic health of the region, which could influence future monetary policy decisions.

Meanwhile, the US dollar experienced a rather steady week, with minimal fluctuations despite a slightly better-than-expected Core PCE report and a strong advance in Q4 GDP figures, suggesting a watchful approach from traders as they navigate through these key economic and corporate developments.