重要なポイント
- BTC is trading near $106K with strong upside momentum
- Resistance sits at $112K with upside potential to $120K–$137K
- Key support levels are $105K and $100K
- Golden cross confirms medium-term bullish structure
- Institutional demand and macro tailwinds are supporting the rally
市場の動向と最近のパフォーマンス
Bitcoin is currently trading around $106,820, continuing its powerful rebound from the recent consolidation near $100,000. The uptrend has been driven by expectations of a dovish shift from the Federal Reserve, weakening dollar momentum, and a surge in institutional interest—including expanding spot ETF holdings and increased corporate accumulation.
With inflation cooling and the macro environment turning risk-on, investor appetite for crypto assets like Bitcoin has reignited. Meanwhile, the technical breakout above recent resistance levels confirms the strength of the bullish sentiment.
テクニカルおよびファンダメンタルの影響
Bitcoin recently broke out of a bullish flag pattern, with technical indicators pointing to continued upside. The formation of a golden cross—where the 50-day moving average crosses above the 200-day—further supports this view.
Immediate resistance sits at $112,000, which marked the prior all-time high. A break above this could pave the way toward $120,000 and eventually $137,000, based on measured move projections. On the downside, support is solid at $105,000, with stronger demand expected at $100,000 if the market retraces.
Momentum remains favorable: RSI is nearing overbought but not extreme, and MACD and trend indicators confirm strength. Still, short-term consolidation is possible as the market digests gains and awaits fresh catalysts.
Fundamentally, Bitcoin remains supported by institutional demand, a weakening U.S. dollar, dovish monetary expectations, and a broader shift in investor confidence toward hard assets.
今後の見通し
In the week ahead, Bitcoin’s path will likely be shaped by:
- S. economic data and Federal Reserve comments, especially around inflation and interest rates
- Continued flows into spot Bitcoin ETFs and institutional portfolios
- Global risk sentiment and the performance of the U.S. dollar
- Key price levels being defended or broken around $105K and $112K
A clean break above $112,000 could ignite a surge toward $120K+, while failure to hold $105,000 would increase the likelihood of a correction toward $100K—a zone many traders will be watching for reentry.
